01
Tax exemption
MISLEADING
As claimed
2014₹2 lakh
2026₹12.75 lakh
As recorded
Basic exemption limit, FY2013-14₹2.00 lakhFinance Act 2014; raised to ₹2.5 lakh in July 2014
Basic exemption limit, new regime₹4.00 lakhZero-tax threshold ₹12.75L = ₹12L §87A rebate + ₹75k standard deduction · PIB
Both numbers exist. They are not the same kind of number. ₹2 lakh is a slab
threshold — the income above which tax begins. ₹12.75 lakh is an
effective zero-tax ceiling reached by stacking a rebate and a standard
deduction on top of a ₹4 lakh slab. Comparing them makes the gap look like 6.4×
when the like-for-like slab comparison is ₹2L → ₹4L.
The relief is real. The multiplier is manufactured by switching units mid-row.
Secondary defect: the 2014 increase to ₹2.5 lakh was announced by Arun Jaitley in the
July 2014 budget — the first NDA budget, not a Chidambaram measure.
02
Bank NPA
FALSE
As claimed
201411%
20260.4%
As recorded
Gross NPA ratio, 31 Mar 20144.1%₹2,51,054 cr · RBI domestic operations, cited in PIB release
Gross NPA ratio, latest2.1%RBI FSR, end-Sep 2025 · Net NPA 0.5% · multi-decade low
This row is wrong at both ends, and wrong in a specific direction.
11% is not a 2014 number. It is the March 2018 peak — 11.18% by RBI’s
domestic-operations series, 11.46% on the gross figure. That peak arrived four years
into the current government, and it arrived because of it: the RBI’s Asset
Quality Review, begun in 2015, forced banks to reclassify restructured loans that had
been carried as standard. Recognition, not deterioration, is what moved the number
from 4.1% to 11%.
The card takes the single worst asset-quality reading of the Modi era and files it under the previous government.
The right-hand cell has a different problem. 0.4% is not the gross NPA ratio
— that is 2.1%. The nearest real figure to 0.4% is the net NPA ratio (0.5%),
which subtracts provisioning. So the row compares a peak gross ratio against a current
net ratio, five times apart in definition before the year error is even counted.
What is defensible: asset quality genuinely is at its best level in roughly two decades,
and stressed assets have fallen from 9.8% of the loan book in March 2014 to 3.55% in
March 2025. That is a real achievement. It does not need an invented baseline.
03
Infra spending
FALSE
As claimed
2009–14₹1.57 lakh cr
2019–26₹65 lakh cr
As recorded
Centre’s capital expenditure, 2004–14₹12.39 lakh crEffective capex ₹17.04 lakh cr · Finance Minister’s reply, Lok Sabha, July 2026
Centre’s capital expenditure, 2014–26₹64.70 lakh crEffective capex ₹90.87 lakh cr · same reply
The government’s own tabled figures dismantle this row.
₹65 lakh crore is the Finance Ministry’s number for 2014–26 — a twelve-year
window. The card relabels it 2019–26 and shortens it to seven. Nothing was
invented; a period was quietly cut in half while the total stayed put.
The left cell is worse. Against the Ministry’s own ₹12.39 lakh crore for the full
2004–14 decade, a 2009–14 half would land somewhere near ₹7–8 lakh crore.
₹1.57 lakh crore is roughly a fifth of that — closer to a single year’s
central capex in that period than to five years of it.
A 12-year total on one side, a figure a fifth of the real one on the other. The ratio does the arguing; neither number does the reporting.
The underlying trend survives the correction intact. Central capex ran near ₹2 lakh
crore a year in FY2014-15 and is budgeted at ₹12.22 lakh crore for FY2026-27 — a genuine
five-to-six-fold rise, and capex as a share of GDP roughly doubled from 1.6% to 3.2%.
The honest version of this row is still a strong one.
04
Wealth created
FALSE
As claimed
2009–14₹13 lakh cr
2019–26₹370 lakh cr
As recorded
BSE market cap, Mar 2009 → Mar 2014+ ~₹40 lakh cr₹74.15 lakh cr at end-Mar 2014 (RBI Handbook, Table 92); ~₹31–35 lakh cr at the Mar 2009 trough
BSE market cap, Mar 2019 → Jun 2026+ ~₹323 lakh cr₹151.09 lakh cr end-Mar 2019 → ₹474.5 lakh cr on 17 Jun 2026
RBI publishes end-March market capitalisation as a standing series. Checked against it,
the left cell is understated by roughly three times and the right cell
is overstated by around ₹45–50 lakh crore. Even measured to the
all-time September 2024 peak of ~₹477 lakh crore, the NDA-period gain reaches about
₹326 lakh crore — not ₹370.
The choice of 2009 as a baseline is doing quiet work. March 2009 was the bottom of the
global financial crisis, with the Sensex near 9,700 — the single most flattering
starting point available for whoever comes next, and the least flattering for whoever
is being measured from it.
Market capitalisation is a valuation, not an output. It rises when multiples expand, when new companies list, and when the rupee moves — none of which a finance minister creates.
Roughly ₹13 lakh crore of the “wealth created” under any government is simply new paper:
IPOs and fresh listings entering the index, which add to market cap without any existing
holder becoming richer.
05
Forex addition
VERIFIED
As claimed
2009–14$50 B
2019–26$320 B
As recorded
Mar 2009 → Mar 2014+ ~$45–52 B$252.3 bn (w/e 27 Mar 2009) → ~$304 bn (end-Mar 2014) · RBI
Mar 2019 → Aug 2026+ ~$304 B$412.9 bn (end-Mar 2019) → $716.9 bn (w/e 14 Aug 2026); peak $728 bn Feb 2026
This row holds. Both figures sit inside the tolerance you would expect from rounding and
from a choice of measurement date. It is the most defensible cell on the card.
One qualification worth carrying: a meaningful share of the recent build is
valuation, not accumulation. Gold has gone from roughly 6% of reserves
in 2021 to about 14–17% by 2025–26, driven by both RBI purchases and a sharp run in the
gold price. Reserves are also a two-way buffer — they were drawn down in 2022 to defend
the rupee, and rose sharply in 2023–26 partly because inflows returned.
06
GDP rank
CONTESTED
As claimed
201410th
20265th
As recorded
Nominal GDP rank, 201310thIMF WEO series; 11th in 2013-14 by some official citations
Nominal GDP rank, 20266thIMF WEO, April 2026: $4.15 tn, behind the UK at $4.26 tn
The starting point is sound. The end point is out of date and currently contested.
India was widely reported as fourth-largest in 2025 on the strength of IMF projections.
Two things then moved against that: MoSPI shifted the GDP base year from 2011-12 to
2022-23 in early 2026, cutting nominal GDP by roughly 3–4% (FY26 revised from about
₹357 lakh crore to ₹345 lakh crore); and the rupee fell from about 84.6 to 88.5 to the
dollar. The IMF’s April 2026 outlook places India sixth, behind both
Japan and the UK.
Neither the fall nor the earlier claim says much about the economy. Nominal dollar rankings move on exchange rates and statistical revisions.
The substantive fact underneath — that India has climbed several places since 2013 and
remains the fastest-growing major economy, third by purchasing-power parity — is not in
dispute. “5th in 2026” simply is not what the current data says.
07
Retail inflation
VERIFIED
As claimed
2012–149.5%
2019–265%
As recorded
CPI, UPA’s final years~9.8%Above 9% in 22 of 28 months, Jan 2012–Apr 2014; double digits nine times
CPI, post-2014 average~5.1%MoSPI series; 4.45% in July 2026; low of 2.1% in June 2025
Accurate, and among the better-evidenced claims on the card. Retail inflation has not
crossed 10% since 2012, and has averaged close to 5% over the last decade — inside the
RBI’s statutory 2–6% band.
Two pieces of context the card omits. The inflation-targeting framework itself
was built across both governments: the Urjit Patel Committee that designed it
reported in January 2014 under the previous government, and the monetary policy
committee was legislated in 2016. And the 2012–14 spike coincided with crude above
$100/bbl, while much of the post-2014 period ran with far cheaper oil — a tailwind no
finance minister arranged.
Note also that MoSPI moved the CPI base year from 2012=100 to 2024=100 in February 2026,
so series spanning that break are not strictly continuous.
08
Scams
NOT A METRIC
As claimed
2009–1478
2019–260
As recorded
Official tallyNone existsNo CAG, CVC, court or ECI series counts “scams” for any government
Official tallyNone existsSame
There is no institution in India that publishes a scam count. “78” traces to
chain-forwarded op-ed content circulating from mid-2024, not to any audit body.
It has no definition, no inclusion criteria and no source document — which is precisely
why it is unfalsifiable and therefore useful in a graphic.
“0” is an assertion of the same type. Whatever one concludes about it, it has to sit
alongside the Supreme Court striking down the electoral bonds scheme as unconstitutional
in February 2024, and the SEBI proceedings that followed the Adani–Hindenburg
allegations.
A cell with no measurable quantity on either side is not evidence. It is the punchline the other seven rows were arranged to set up.